From Uncertainty to Value: Probabilistic Decision-Making and Portfolio Optimization in Energy
Thursday, 22 October
Room 371 BE
Technical Session
The session focuses on advanced approaches for decision-making under uncertainty in energy systems. The papers showcase probabilistic frameworks, portfolio optimization methods, and valuation techniques that integrate technical, economic, and strategic factors. By moving beyond deterministic models, these contributions demonstrate how uncertainty can be leveraged to improve capital allocation, manage risk, and support more resilient investment decisions across the asset lifecycle.
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1400-1425 233976Beyond Binary Success: A Bayesian Framework For Valuing Strategic Learning And Technical Innovation In Mature Reservoirs
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1425-1450 234094Multi-attribute Portfolio Selection In Oil And Gas Exploration: A Utility Framework Incorporating Shannon Entropy
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1450-1515 234095Risk - Based Management Of Completion Operations In CC(U)S Projects: The Prinos Field Case Study
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1545-1610 233982Fiscal Design As A Competitiveness Tool In Resource-rich Petroleum Provinces: A Framework For Sector Reactivation In Venezuela.
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1610-1635 234024Association (back-in) Option For A National Oil Company: Analysis For A Commercial Discovery Scenario Offshore Uruguay.
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1635-1700 233886Multi-objective Portfolio Optimization For Energy Infrastructure Investment Under Uncertainty
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Alternate 234159Western Haynesville Shale: Frontier Valuation Using Damodaran's Three-Tier Narrative Framework
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Alternate 233807Optimizing Exploration And Development Investment Decisions Under Market And Technical Uncertainty: A Case Study From The Caspian Basin
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Alternate 233894De-risking Enhanced Geothermal Systems Across The Full Project Lifecycle: A Probabilistic Framework For Exploration, Development, And Portfolio Integration
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Alternate 234007From Mandate To Guidelines: Embedding Gender Equity And Human Rights Into The UNFC And UNRMS Frameworks


